# Probability is not real.

If there are 3 blue balls and 2 red balls, what is the probability of you picking a blue ball?

We’ve been convinced that the answer is 3/5. And the arguments are pretty convincing; don’t get me wrong. However, what we fail to realize is that probability based on the distribution of something only has a minor effect on choice. We can understand the difference between choice and probability more clearly when we study the true meaning behind “50/50 chance”. If the distribution of items are equal (let’s say one blue ball and one red ball), you and I may still make different choices. I may have picked the blue and you may have picked the red. But what influenced our choice? This is where we dive into the fields of neural linguistic programming and the like. But long story short: the distribution of something barely has any effect on choice. I’m not saying there isn’t any effect at all. I’m saying there are deeper and more influential factors (i.e., perception) that fuel the mechanisms that lead to us to making differentiating choices.

If there are 3 blue balls and 2 red balls, what is the probability of you picking a blue ball?

Who knows.

*Thanks for reading!*